Climate simulation raises alarm over potential ocean circulation collapse

A recent study by René van Westen showcases how melting Arctic freshwater could disrupt the Atlantic Ocean's circulation, potentially leading to abrupt climate changes.

Sarah Kaplan reports for The Washington Post.


In short:

  • The Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC), crucial for regulating climate and weather patterns, may be nearing a critical "tipping point" due to increased freshwater from melting ice.
  • Historical data and advanced simulations indicate the AMOC has shut down before, with significant global climate implications.
  • Recent observations suggest the AMOC is weakening, raising concerns about its stability and the rapid, severe consequences of its potential collapse.

Key quote:

“In simple terms [it] would be a combined food and water security crisis on a global scale.”

— Tim Lenton, climate scientist at the University of Exeter

Why this matters:

Understanding and monitoring the AMOC's stability is vital for predicting future climate changes. A collapse could drastically alter weather patterns, affect global food and water security, and challenge our ability to adapt. Solutions exist but competing interests slow implementation.

Wooden gavel indicative of justice

States push climate superfund bills despite Trump’s opposition

The legislation would make oil and gas firms pay for climate damages from burning their products. Trump has referred to such laws as “extortion.”
Solar panels installed on a city balcony, generating solar energy.

New England lawmakers weigh plug-in solar as Europe’s model spreads

Legislation in Maine, Vermont, New Hampshire, Massachusetts and Rhode Island would allow small solar panels to plug directly into home outlets, expanding access to clean energy.
Department of Homeland Security FEMA sign on the office in Washington DC.

What experts say about proposed FEMA changes

The Trump administration is proposing massive changes to the Federal Emergency Management Agency. We asked disaster experts to weigh in.
A photo of a person texting on his phone with an image of comment bubbles with the words 'Hi Bot!'

Southern California air board rejected pollution rules after AI-generated flood of comments

An AI-powered platform generated at least 20,000 emails that helped defeat a proposal to phase out gas-powered appliances in Southern California, records show.

A flooded building with a metal roof

Floods linked to climate change hit nearly 1 million in Southern Africa

Devastating floods that swept across Southern Africa since December 2025, killing at least 280 people and affecting almost a million, were likely intensified by the impacts of climate change, scientists say.

the sun is setting over a lake with contrails in the sky

A case for avoiding contrails before we have all the answers

According to a comprehensive modeling study, the climate benefits of contrail avoidance depend on speed, not perfection.

A flooded mobile home park

A massive climate resilience program is escaping Florida’s DOGE purge

Ron DeSantis is slashing government spending, but the Sunshine State can’t afford to abandon its climate adaptation fund.
From our Newsroom
Multiple Houston-area oil and gas facilities that have violated pollution laws are seeking permit renewals

Multiple Houston-area oil and gas facilities that have violated pollution laws are seeking permit renewals

One facility has emitted cancer-causing chemicals into waterways at levels up to 520% higher than legal limits.

Regulators are underestimating health impacts from air pollution: Study

Regulators are underestimating health impacts from air pollution: Study

"The reality is, we are not exposed to one chemical at a time.”

Pennsylvania governor Josh Shapiro speaks with the state flag and American flag behind him.

Two years into his term, has Gov. Shapiro kept his promises to regulate Pennsylvania’s fracking industry?

A new report assesses the administration’s progress and makes new recommendations

silhouette of people holding hands by a lake at sunset

An open letter from EPA staff to the American public

“We cannot stand by and allow this to happen. We need to hold this administration accountable.”

wildfire retardants being sprayed by plane

New evidence links heavy metal pollution with wildfire retardants

“The chemical black box” that blankets wildfire-impacted areas is increasingly under scrutiny.

Stay informed: sign up for The Daily Climate newsletter
Top news on climate impacts, solutions, politics, drivers. Delivered to your inbox week days.