Global warming predictions exceed critical 1.5C threshold

Leading climate experts predict severe temperature increases this century, significantly exceeding the crucial 1.5C goal, which could lead to devastating global impacts.

Damian Carrington reports for The Guardian.


In short:

  • A survey involving IPCC scientists forecasts a minimum 2.5C rise in global temperatures, with some expecting up to 3C.
  • Many researchers express deep concern over inadequate government actions despite clear evidence of impending climate crises.
  • The scientific community emphasizes continued efforts in the climate battle, highlighting the importance of each fractional degree in reducing future suffering.

Key quote:

"I think we are headed for major societal disruption within the next five years."

— Gretta Pecl, University of Tasmania.

Why this matters:

Warmer global temperatures can lead to more frequent and severe weather events such as hurricanes and wildfires, contributing to property damage, displacement and loss of life. Health risks are also expected to surge with increases in heat-related illnesses, the spread of infectious diseases and challenges to food and water security affecting the most vulnerable populations. The higher end of the temperature spectrum, 3 degrees Celsius, may represent the potential for a tipping point beyond which the environmental consequences could become irreversible and catastrophic.

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