Opinion: Cuts to NOAA threaten U.S. climate research and weather forecasting

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration faces mass layoffs and potential program shutdowns as the Trump administration moves to shrink its role in climate and weather science.

Adam Sobel writes for Yale Environment 360.


In short:

  • NOAA has already laid off around 1,000 employees and is being ordered to cut another 1,000, eliminating about 20% of its workforce, including staff at key research labs like the Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory.
  • The cuts appear linked to Project 2025, a policy plan supported by the Trump administration that views NOAA as part of a “climate alarm industry” and seeks to privatize weather forecasting services.
  • Longstanding research institutions, including the Mauna Loa Observatory and Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory, face uncertainty as funding and government support erode under the current administration.

Why this matters:

NOAA plays a central role in gathering and analyzing the data that underpins both daily weather forecasts and long-term climate projections. Its models support emergency services, agriculture, infrastructure planning, and global research collaborations. Slashing its staff and resources undermines both scientific capacity and public safety.

Privatization efforts may leave critical climate and weather data behind paywalls or vulnerable to political influence, weakening public access to science that affects everything from storm warnings to long-term planning for climate adaptation. NOAA’s work, rooted in Cold War military investments, is not fringe — it’s the foundation of modern environmental intelligence.

Related: Funding reductions threaten vital climate research at NOAA

Battle ships heading into the sunset

Water, power, and the future of conflict

Explore the rise of water as a geopolitical weapon influencing global security, economics, and environmental stability in 2026.
A view of the Salton Sea with mountains in the background

The clean energy transition at the Salton Sea

California holds vast stores of lithium, but mining projects stir debate over environmental costs and economic benefits.

A worker at a steel plant

Indonesia’s steel expansion risks a surge in greenhouse gas emissions

Indonesia’s steel industry is becoming one of the country’s fastest-growing sources of greenhouse gas emissions, even as it receives far less public attention than other carbon-intensive sectors.

An oil pump jack in a dry field

New Mexico again debates greenhouse gas reductions as snow melts

Lawmakers table bill to expand the use of oilfield wastewater and shoot down another that would restrict drone use around “critical” infrastructure.

A gray warehouse type building on a brown field on a sunny day

Data centers are scrambling to power the AI boom with natural gas

As tech giants find creative ways to generate electricity, they’re building a glut of new fossil fuel projects.
U.S. Congressman Jim Jordan speaking at the 2015 Defending the American Dream Summit
Credit: Gage Skidmore/https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/2.0/https://www.flickr.com/photos/gageskidmore/

Federal Judicial Center pulls climate change chapter from official manual for U.S. judges

The “Reference Manual on Scientific Evidence” — updated for the first time in 15 years — eliminates some 90 pages about climate science and comes just as numerous climate cases make their way through state and federal courts.
US Supreme Court roof and pillars in evening sun and shadow.

Trump EPA to take its biggest swing yet against climate change rules

With its plans to revoke the endangerment finding, the administration is gambling that the U.S. Supreme Court will allow it to completely avoid regulating the nation’s top greenhouse gas sources.

From our Newsroom
Multiple Houston-area oil and gas facilities that have violated pollution laws are seeking permit renewals

Multiple Houston-area oil and gas facilities that have violated pollution laws are seeking permit renewals

One facility has emitted cancer-causing chemicals into waterways at levels up to 520% higher than legal limits.

Regulators are underestimating health impacts from air pollution: Study

Regulators are underestimating health impacts from air pollution: Study

"The reality is, we are not exposed to one chemical at a time.”

Pennsylvania governor Josh Shapiro speaks with the state flag and American flag behind him.

Two years into his term, has Gov. Shapiro kept his promises to regulate Pennsylvania’s fracking industry?

A new report assesses the administration’s progress and makes new recommendations

silhouette of people holding hands by a lake at sunset

An open letter from EPA staff to the American public

“We cannot stand by and allow this to happen. We need to hold this administration accountable.”

wildfire retardants being sprayed by plane

New evidence links heavy metal pollution with wildfire retardants

“The chemical black box” that blankets wildfire-impacted areas is increasingly under scrutiny.

Stay informed: sign up for The Daily Climate newsletter
Top news on climate impacts, solutions, politics, drivers. Delivered to your inbox week days.