Opinion: Cuts to NOAA threaten U.S. climate research and weather forecasting

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration faces mass layoffs and potential program shutdowns as the Trump administration moves to shrink its role in climate and weather science.

Adam Sobel writes for Yale Environment 360.


In short:

  • NOAA has already laid off around 1,000 employees and is being ordered to cut another 1,000, eliminating about 20% of its workforce, including staff at key research labs like the Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory.
  • The cuts appear linked to Project 2025, a policy plan supported by the Trump administration that views NOAA as part of a “climate alarm industry” and seeks to privatize weather forecasting services.
  • Longstanding research institutions, including the Mauna Loa Observatory and Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory, face uncertainty as funding and government support erode under the current administration.

Why this matters:

NOAA plays a central role in gathering and analyzing the data that underpins both daily weather forecasts and long-term climate projections. Its models support emergency services, agriculture, infrastructure planning, and global research collaborations. Slashing its staff and resources undermines both scientific capacity and public safety.

Privatization efforts may leave critical climate and weather data behind paywalls or vulnerable to political influence, weakening public access to science that affects everything from storm warnings to long-term planning for climate adaptation. NOAA’s work, rooted in Cold War military investments, is not fringe — it’s the foundation of modern environmental intelligence.

Related: Funding reductions threaten vital climate research at NOAA

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