Texas power demand expected to nearly double by 2030, ERCOT predicts

The Electric Reliability Council of Texas forecasts that power demand in Texas could almost double by 2030 due to new demand calculation methods and a surge in large power users.

Emily Foxhall and Kayla Guo report for The Texas Tribune.


In short:

  • ERCOT’s new prediction considers company requests for grid connections before finalization and an influx of large power users like data centers and hydrogen production facilities.
  • Texas’s population growth and increased electrification in the oil and gas sector are major factors driving the expected surge in power demand.
  • State officials are concerned about the potential strain on the grid and are considering more oversight and new infrastructure to meet the demand.

Key quote:

“All of that is putting together a picture of a very significant, different demand growth that is forcing us to really re-think how we’re looking at planning ... ”

— Pablo Vegas, president and CEO of ERCOT

Why this matters:

ERCOT’s forecast raises concerns about the state's ability to meet this demand without compromising environmental standards or public health. As Texas continues to attract businesses with its favorable economic conditions, the pressure mounts on the existing infrastructure, potentially leading to increased carbon emissions and higher pollution levels if fossil fuel usage is ramped up to meet the growing energy needs.

Barge transporting timber on the Congo River

Floating cities of logs: can the ‘lungs of Africa’ survive its exploitation?

The Congo River basin is one of the planet’s most biodiverse ecosystems. But it is also home to a growing population and relentless trade in timber and charcoal.

U.S. Secretary of Energy Chris Wright speaking at the 2025 Conservative Political Action Conference (CPAC)
Credit: Gage Skidmore https://www.flickr.com/photos/gageskidmore/ Creative Commons https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/2.0/

US pressures global energy body to drop net zero modeling

Donald Trump’s energy chief Chris Wright told other ministers in Paris that a net zero world was fantasy, officials familiar with the discussions told POLITICO.
Aerial photo of coal-fired power plant
Credit: airphoto.gr/BigStock Photo ID: 4550715

E.P.A. plans to loosen mercury rules for coal plants, documents show

Senior officials at the Environmental Protection Agency are expected to announce the move on Friday, according to people briefed on the matter.
Dejected scientist in lab coat sitting in a chair

Documenting a ‘drastically changing’ scientific landscape

In the Lost Science series, scientists whose jobs or funding have been cut by the Trump administration tell their stories.
A view of a power plant with red and white smokestacks and pollution billowing into the sky

Trump administration keeping power plants open in effort to befriend coal industry

President Trump signed an executive order last week, requiring military installations to purchase electricity from coal-fired power plants – some of which were slated to be retired.

A view of water with a huge iceberg in the distance

Iceland saw record temperatures last year. So why are scientists predicting a ‘deep freeze’?

Scientists have expressed growing concern over a major Atlantic current that could collapse and send northern Europe into the next Ice Age.
A view of white coral with small blue fish swimming over it

Coral bleaching: How warming seas are transforming the world’s reefs

Mass coral bleaching occurs when unusually warm ocean temperatures disrupt the partnership between corals and the microscopic algae that supply most of their energy.

From our Newsroom
Multiple Houston-area oil and gas facilities that have violated pollution laws are seeking permit renewals

Multiple Houston-area oil and gas facilities that have violated pollution laws are seeking permit renewals

One facility has emitted cancer-causing chemicals into waterways at levels up to 520% higher than legal limits.

Regulators are underestimating health impacts from air pollution: Study

Regulators are underestimating health impacts from air pollution: Study

"The reality is, we are not exposed to one chemical at a time.”

Pennsylvania governor Josh Shapiro speaks with the state flag and American flag behind him.

Two years into his term, has Gov. Shapiro kept his promises to regulate Pennsylvania’s fracking industry?

A new report assesses the administration’s progress and makes new recommendations

silhouette of people holding hands by a lake at sunset

An open letter from EPA staff to the American public

“We cannot stand by and allow this to happen. We need to hold this administration accountable.”

wildfire retardants being sprayed by plane

New evidence links heavy metal pollution with wildfire retardants

“The chemical black box” that blankets wildfire-impacted areas is increasingly under scrutiny.

Stay informed: sign up for The Daily Climate newsletter
Top news on climate impacts, solutions, politics, drivers. Delivered to your inbox week days.