Global climate impacts are set to drastically reduce average income levels by 2050

A new study reveals that by 2050, global incomes will decrease by almost 20% on average due to severe climate impacts, which will cost significantly more than proactive measures to limit temperature rises.

Jonathan Watts reports for The Guardian.


In short:

  • The study predicts $38 trillion in annual damages by mid-century due to climate change, significantly outpacing earlier estimates.
  • Income reductions will vary, with North America and Europe seeing about 11% decreases, while hotter regions like Africa and South Asia face over 20% losses.
  • The research advocates for rapid emission reductions to mitigate severe future economic and environmental impacts.

Key quote:

"It’s devastating... The inequality dimension was really shocking."

— Leonie Wenz, scientist at the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research

Why this matters:

The study's authors note that the cost of damage from extreme weather events is six times more than what it would cost to limit warming to 2 degrees. How do we get to real solutions? John Harte, a physicist-turned-ecologist at the University of California, Berkeley, provides some answers.

Snowy owl in winter plumage flying over a non-winter landscape
Credit: Manoj Balotia/Unsplash

Species slowdown: Is nature’s ability to self-repair stalling?

When scientists recently analyzed hundreds of studies of ecosystems, they were surprised to see a marked slowing in the rate of species turnover. If new species don’t replace old ones, they say, ecosystems may have less flexibility to respond to habitat loss and climate change.
Power plant discharging smoke and dirty orange air obscuring the sun
Credit: Mikhail Dudarev/BigStock Photo ID: 14021453

Opinion: Chokehold: The Trump administration’s stealth plan to unleash poisonous air

The EPA stopped valuing the lives it could save​​, setting up a deregulatory disaster that will be hazardous to your health.
Bleached out cow skull with horns intact against a dry earth background

Nature report, killed by Trump, is released independently

A draft assessment of the health of nature in the United States is grim but shot through with bright spots and possibility.
Healthy coral reef and associated fish

How protecting nature could make the world safer

Debt-for-nature swaps and conservation funds to halt biodiversity loss are gaining traction as governments link ecosystem collapse to geopolitical instability.
A gavel sitting on a judge's desk

The Supreme Court case that could end local climate suits

Nearly a dozen states are suing the oil and gas industry over climate. The fossil fuel industry is pushing back.
An aerial view of San Francisco

Trump may have inadvertently invited a wave of climate action from blue states

The administration’s decision to rescind the Obama-era endangerment finding undercuts its own legal arguments against state-level climate superfund laws.
Computer generated 3D illustration with oil pumps, solar panels and wind turbines.
Credit: MIRO3D/BigStock Photo ID: 147195269

Texas seizes the solar crown from California, and other key points from the latest electricity data

Utility-scale solar soared in 2025 across the country; coal also grew, while natural gas was down.
From our Newsroom
Multiple Houston-area oil and gas facilities that have violated pollution laws are seeking permit renewals

Multiple Houston-area oil and gas facilities that have violated pollution laws are seeking permit renewals

One facility has emitted cancer-causing chemicals into waterways at levels up to 520% higher than legal limits.

Regulators are underestimating health impacts from air pollution: Study

Regulators are underestimating health impacts from air pollution: Study

"The reality is, we are not exposed to one chemical at a time.”

Pennsylvania governor Josh Shapiro speaks with the state flag and American flag behind him.

Two years into his term, has Gov. Shapiro kept his promises to regulate Pennsylvania’s fracking industry?

A new report assesses the administration’s progress and makes new recommendations

silhouette of people holding hands by a lake at sunset

An open letter from EPA staff to the American public

“We cannot stand by and allow this to happen. We need to hold this administration accountable.”

wildfire retardants being sprayed by plane

New evidence links heavy metal pollution with wildfire retardants

“The chemical black box” that blankets wildfire-impacted areas is increasingly under scrutiny.

Stay informed: sign up for The Daily Climate newsletter
Top news on climate impacts, solutions, politics, drivers. Delivered to your inbox week days.