Amazon rainforest
Indigenous children in Caquetá, Colombia. (Credit: Stiven Gaviria/Unsplash)

The planet’s largest ecosystems could collapse faster than we thought

Massive, vital ecosystems that have existed for thousands of years could breakdown in just a few decades, according to a new study

If put under the kind of environmental stress increasingly seen on our planet, large ecosystems —such as the Amazon rainforest or the Caribbean coral reefs—could collapse in just a few decades, according to a study released today in Nature Communications.


In the case of Amazon forests, stressors could cause collapse in just 49 years. In Caribbean coral reefs, it could take as little as 15 years.

"The messages here are stark," said lead researcher John Dearing, a professor in physical geography at the University of Southampton, in a statement.

Those estimates come from Dearing and colleagues who examined data on how 42 natural environments—small and large, and on both land and water—have transformed. They found that larger ecosystems may take longer than small ones to collapse, but the rate of their decline is much more rapid.

Ecosystem stress can come in many forms such as climate change, deforestation, overfishing, pollution and ocean acidification.

(Credit: Francesco Ungaro/Unsplash)

"Humanity now needs to prepare for changes in ecosystems that are faster than we previously envisaged through our traditional linear view of the world, including across Earth 's largest and most iconic ecosystems, and the social–ecological systems that they support," the authors wrote.

Larger ecosystems are made up of smaller "sub-systems" of species and habitats, which provide some resilience against rapid change. However, once these smaller systems start to collapse, the new study finds the large ecosystems as a whole fall apart much faster than previously expected.

Researchers pointed to the destructive Australian and Amazon rainforest wildfires as recent examples of this dangerous fast rate of collapse.

"These findings are yet another call for halting the current damage being imposed on our natural environments that pushes ecosystems to their limits," Dearing added.

See the full study in Nature Communications.

COP16 UN biodiversity

Pollution is one of the top drivers of biodiversity loss. Why is no one talking about it at COP16?

“Chemicals are really at the center of this triple planetary crisis of pollution, biodiversity and climate change.”

CALI, COLOMBIA– More than 23,000 world leaders, environmental activists and researchers are meeting this week and next in Cali, Colombia, for the COP16 United Nations (UN) biodiversity summit, a consequential event for the future of the world’s declining animals, plants, fungi and microorganisms.
Keep reading...Show less
Senator Whitehouse & climate change

Senator Whitehouse puts climate change on budget committee’s agenda

For more than a decade, Senator Sheldon Whitehouse gave daily warnings about the mounting threat of climate change. Now he has a powerful new perch.
COP16 UN biodiversity
Crédito: UN Biodiversity

La contaminación es una de las principales amenazas de la biodiversidad. ¿Por qué nadie habla de ella en la COP16?

CALI, COLOMBIA– Más de 23.000 líderes, activistas ambientales e investigadores se reunirán esta y la próxima semana en Cali, Colombia, para la COP16 de las Naciones Unidas sobre biodiversidad, un evento trascendental para el futuro de los animales, plantas, hongos y microorganismos del mundo en declive.

Keep reading...Show less
Climate change is shifting the colors of nature around the globe

Climate change is shifting the colors of nature around the globe

Rising global temperatures are affecting the natural colors of landscapes, with research suggesting that climate change is delaying fall foliage, greening oceans and even making parts of Antarctica more vegetated.

Kiley Price reports for Inside Climate News.

Keep reading...Show less
Middle East conflict no longer triggers spikes in oil prices
Credit: oe/Pixabay

Middle East conflict no longer triggers spikes in oil prices

Escalating conflict between Israel, Iran and Hezbollah hasn’t led to a significant increase in oil prices, as global energy markets have become less reliant on Middle Eastern oil.

James Surowiecki writes for The Atlantic.

Keep reading...Show less
Human activity is pushing ecosystems toward collapse, experts warn

Human activity is pushing ecosystems toward collapse, experts warn

As global leaders gather for the UN’s biodiversity summit, scientists caution that continued inaction on biodiversity loss could have catastrophic consequences for humanity.

Phoebe Weston reports for The Guardian.

Keep reading...Show less
Carbon sequestration site in Illinois leaked twice, raising water safety concerns

Carbon sequestration site in Illinois leaked twice, raising water safety concerns

ADM's carbon capture and storage facility in Decatur, Illinois, has experienced two leaks, fueling fears about potential groundwater contamination and the safety of this emerging technology.

Juanpablo Ramirez-Franco reports for Grist.

Keep reading...Show less
EVs become key debate in Michigan Senate race

EVs become key debate in Michigan Senate race

Electric vehicles have become a central issue in Michigan's Senate race, with Republican Mike Rogers attacking Democrat Elissa Slotkin for allegedly supporting an "EV mandate."

Rachel Frazin reports for The Hill.

Keep reading...Show less
From our Newsroom
clean energy transition

Op-ed: Labor and environmental groups can both win in the clean energy transition. Here’s how.

Groups are choosing to repair broken lines of communication and visualize the transition for its true potential to mitigate climate change – the common enemy.

environmental defenders

‘Living under this constant threat’: Environmental defenders face a mounting mental health crisis

Environmental activists are struggling with paranoia, panic attacks, and depression. Now, a growing network of mental health shelters in South America hopes to fill a void in care.

fracking opposition

Opposing fracking cost one Colombian activist her mental health. She’s fighting to win it back.

"At some point, they will kill you and kill all of us," environmental leader Yuvelis Natalia Morales Blanco was told.

Houston area has more than 100 unauthorized air pollution events already this year

Houston area has more than 100 unauthorized air pollution events already this year

An EHN analysis finds nearly half were related to flaring.

environmental justice

LISTEN: Mokshda Kaul on making the clean energy transition work for all

“Coalitions become this interesting way to create buy-in.”

climate week NYC

Op-ed: Is plastic the biggest climate threat?

A plastics treaty for the climate and health must address overproduction of plastics and head off the petrochemical and plastic industry’s planned expansion.

Stay informed: sign up for The Daily Climate newsletter
Top news on climate impacts, solutions, politics, drivers. Delivered to your inbox week days.